High VED costs could push more older, higher-emission cars into the UK ELV stream this summer. Car.co.uk data shows rising scrap quotes for models such as the Land Rover Freelander 2 i6, Volkswagen Golf R32 and Ford Galaxy 2.3, creating parts recovery and stock-planning opportunities for ATFs.

April’s Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) changes could accelerate scrappage of some older, higher-emission models, with several once-popular cars now facing annual road tax bills of £735 or more.
New analysis from Car.co.uk suggests that models such as the Ford Galaxy 2.3, Jaguar X-Type 2.0-litre Auto, Vauxhall Zafira VXR, Volkswagen Golf R32 and Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 are among those most exposed to the cost pressure. For UK ATFs and vehicle recyclers, the data points to a potential rise in older, higher-tax vehicles entering the end-of-life vehicle stream over the coming months.
Older models hit by higher road tax
Car.co.uk has identified ten popular models that are particularly affected by the higher VED rates following April’s changes.
|
Model |
Annual road tax rate |
|
Audi TT 1.8T |
£735 |
|
Chrysler PT Cruiser |
£735 |
|
Ford Galaxy 2.3 |
£735 |
|
Ford Mondeo V6 |
£735 |
|
Jaguar X-Type 2.0-litre Auto |
£735 |
|
Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 |
£760 |
|
Saab 900 Convertible |
£735 |
|
Subaru Forester 2.5 XT |
£735 |
|
Vauxhall Zafira VXR |
£735 |
|
Volkswagen Golf R32 |
£760 |
William Fletcher MBE, CEO of Car.co.uk, said many of these vehicles are now worth less than their annual tax bill.
“Many of these cars, from family staples like the Ford Galaxy and Vauxhall Zafira to sportier models like the Volkswagen Golf R32, are now worth less than their annual tax bill. It’s hard to believe, but these models are being taxed on UK roads at the same rate as luxury sports cars worth 100x their value.
For many households that require affordable and family-sized cars like the Galaxy, April’s road tax changes present a massive problem. Right now, amid the UK’s affordability crisis, many families in the UK are simply trying to make ends meet, so paying hundreds in road tax on an ageing vehicle is simply unviable and makes no financial sense.”
Scrappage already rising for some models
Car.co.uk’s internal data indicates that scrappage activity is already increasing for some of the models affected by higher VED costs.
Between 2024 and 2025, the Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 recorded the largest increase among the vehicles analysed, with scrappage up 550%. The Subaru Forester 2.5 XT rose by 166.7%, while Volkswagen Golf R32 scrappage increased by 125%.
|
Model |
Percentage change between 2024 and 2025 |
|
Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 |
+550.0% |
|
Subaru Forester 2.5 XT |
+166.7% |
|
Volkswagen Golf R32 |
+125.0% |
|
Vauxhall Zafira VXR |
+50.0% |
For ATFs, these are not necessarily high-volume vehicles compared with mainstream models such as the Ford Focus, Vauxhall Corsa or Ford Fiesta. However, they may offer useful parts recovery opportunities, particularly where owners are scrapping vehicles for economic reasons rather than because of major mechanical failure or accident damage.
Q1 figures suggest pressure is building
More recent Car.co.uk data comparing Q4 2025 with Q1 2026 shows a further rise in scrap quote activity for several affected models.
The Volkswagen Golf R32 saw the largest increase, with scrap quotes up 323.1% between Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. The Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 followed at 233.3%, while the Ford Galaxy 2.3 rose by 130.8%.
|
Model |
Percentage change between Q4 2025 and Q1 2026 |
|
VW Golf R32 |
+323.1% |
|
Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 |
+233.3% |
|
Ford Galaxy 2.3 |
+130.8% |
|
Jaguar X-Type 2.0 Auto |
+31.6% |
|
Audi TT 1.8T |
+17.6% |
With the April VED deadline now passed, Car.co.uk expects further increases in Q2 and Q3 as owners reassess the cost of keeping older, higher-tax vehicles on the road.
Fletcher said:
“Models like the Land Rover Freelander tend to hold perceived utility value longer, meaning owners only scrap when costs suddenly stack up, such as taxes. So, with annual road tax rising to £760, we expect to see Freelander scrap quotes increase even further in Q2 and Q3.
“In general, scrap quotes have already greatly increased for many older models at risk of high taxes this year. But come the second quarter of 2026, we expect an even more significant increase in scrappage as car owners face the reality of their new car costs.”
What this means for UK ATFs
For UK ATFs and vehicle recyclers, the practical impact will depend on local vehicle supply, collection channels and parts demand.
Older, higher-tax models may arrive at sites in better reusable condition than accident-damaged salvage, especially where the owner’s decision is driven by annual running costs. That could create opportunities for dismantlers to recover engines, gearboxes, body panels, interior parts, wheels and specialist components before the remaining shell enters the metals stream.
There may also be a pricing consideration. If more owners seek scrap quotes at the same time, competition for certain vehicles could increase, particularly where models such as the Golf R32 or Freelander 2 i6 have a strong enthusiast or used-parts market.
For operators, the key will be identifying which incoming vehicles should be treated as straightforward ELVs and which justify more detailed parts harvesting. As VED costs push some ageing but still desirable models off the road, dismantlers with good stock control, online listings and model-specific parts knowledge may be best placed to capture the added value.
Further Reading on ATF Professional
-
Ford Focus tops UK scrap charts again in 2025
-
Q1 2025 Scrap Car Prices Show Modest Recovery After Slow Start
-
2024 Scrap Car Price Review: Insights from CarTakeBack
-
Reshaping the scrap-car journey for ATFs


