Essential information for end of life vehicle dismantling, depollution and recycling

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High VED bills could push older UK cars towards the scrapyard this summer

High VED costs could push more older, higher-emission cars into the UK ELV stream this summer. Car.co.uk data shows rising scrap quotes for models such as the Land Rover Freelander 2 i6, Volkswagen Golf R32 and Ford Galaxy 2.3, creating parts recovery and stock-planning opportunities for ATFs.

Aerial view of older vehicles lined up at a scrapyard or ATF awaiting depollution, dismantling and recycling.
Image credit: Envato Elements

April’s Vehicle Excise Duty (VED) changes could accelerate scrappage of some older, higher-emission models, with several once-popular cars now facing annual road tax bills of £735 or more.

New analysis from Car.co.uk suggests that models such as the Ford Galaxy 2.3, Jaguar X-Type 2.0-litre Auto, Vauxhall Zafira VXR, Volkswagen Golf R32 and Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 are among those most exposed to the cost pressure. For UK ATFs and vehicle recyclers, the data points to a potential rise in older, higher-tax vehicles entering the end-of-life vehicle stream over the coming months.

Older models hit by higher road tax

Car.co.uk has identified ten popular models that are particularly affected by the higher VED rates following April’s changes.

Model

Annual road tax rate

Audi TT 1.8T

£735

Chrysler PT Cruiser

£735

Ford Galaxy 2.3

£735

Ford Mondeo V6

£735

Jaguar X-Type 2.0-litre Auto

£735

Land Rover Freelander 2 i6

£760

Saab 900 Convertible

£735

Subaru Forester 2.5 XT

£735

Vauxhall Zafira VXR

£735

Volkswagen Golf R32

£760

William Fletcher MBE, CEO of Car.co.uk, said many of these vehicles are now worth less than their annual tax bill.

“Many of these cars, from family staples like the Ford Galaxy and Vauxhall Zafira to sportier models like the Volkswagen Golf R32, are now worth less than their annual tax bill. It’s hard to believe, but these models are being taxed on UK roads at the same rate as luxury sports cars worth 100x their value.

For many households that require affordable and family-sized cars like the Galaxy, April’s road tax changes present a massive problem. Right now, amid the UK’s affordability crisis, many families in the UK are simply trying to make ends meet, so paying hundreds in road tax on an ageing vehicle is simply unviable and makes no financial sense.”

Scrappage already rising for some models

Car.co.uk’s internal data indicates that scrappage activity is already increasing for some of the models affected by higher VED costs.

Between 2024 and 2025, the Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 recorded the largest increase among the vehicles analysed, with scrappage up 550%. The Subaru Forester 2.5 XT rose by 166.7%, while Volkswagen Golf R32 scrappage increased by 125%.

Model

Percentage change between 2024 and 2025

Land Rover Freelander 2 i6

+550.0%

Subaru Forester 2.5 XT

+166.7%

Volkswagen Golf R32

+125.0%

Vauxhall Zafira VXR

+50.0%

For ATFs, these are not necessarily high-volume vehicles compared with mainstream models such as the Ford Focus, Vauxhall Corsa or Ford Fiesta. However, they may offer useful parts recovery opportunities, particularly where owners are scrapping vehicles for economic reasons rather than because of major mechanical failure or accident damage.

Q1 figures suggest pressure is building

More recent Car.co.uk data comparing Q4 2025 with Q1 2026 shows a further rise in scrap quote activity for several affected models.

The Volkswagen Golf R32 saw the largest increase, with scrap quotes up 323.1% between Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. The Land Rover Freelander 2 i6 followed at 233.3%, while the Ford Galaxy 2.3 rose by 130.8%.

Model

Percentage change between Q4 2025 and Q1 2026

VW Golf R32

+323.1%

Land Rover Freelander 2 i6

+233.3%

Ford Galaxy 2.3

+130.8%

Jaguar X-Type 2.0 Auto

+31.6%

Audi TT 1.8T

+17.6%

With the April VED deadline now passed, Car.co.uk expects further increases in Q2 and Q3 as owners reassess the cost of keeping older, higher-tax vehicles on the road.

Fletcher said:

“Models like the Land Rover Freelander tend to hold perceived utility value longer, meaning owners only scrap when costs suddenly stack up, such as taxes. So, with annual road tax rising to £760, we expect to see Freelander scrap quotes increase even further in Q2 and Q3.

“In general, scrap quotes have already greatly increased for many older models at risk of high taxes this year. But come the second quarter of 2026, we expect an even more significant increase in scrappage as car owners face the reality of their new car costs.”

What this means for UK ATFs

For UK ATFs and vehicle recyclers, the practical impact will depend on local vehicle supply, collection channels and parts demand.

Older, higher-tax models may arrive at sites in better reusable condition than accident-damaged salvage, especially where the owner’s decision is driven by annual running costs. That could create opportunities for dismantlers to recover engines, gearboxes, body panels, interior parts, wheels and specialist components before the remaining shell enters the metals stream.

There may also be a pricing consideration. If more owners seek scrap quotes at the same time, competition for certain vehicles could increase, particularly where models such as the Golf R32 or Freelander 2 i6 have a strong enthusiast or used-parts market.

For operators, the key will be identifying which incoming vehicles should be treated as straightforward ELVs and which justify more detailed parts harvesting. As VED costs push some ageing but still desirable models off the road, dismantlers with good stock control, online listings and model-specific parts knowledge may be best placed to capture the added value.

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e2e Total Loss Vehicle Management [e2e] is the UK’s only salvage and automotive recycling network with nationwide, environmentally compliant sites delivering performance resilience and service reliability to the insurance and fleet markets.  The network’s online salvage auction www.salvagemarket.co.uk drives strong salvage resale values and faster sales.  e2e’s salvage clients have access to the network’s stocks of over 5 million quality graded, warranty assured reclaimed parts. 

The power of the network model means e2e has the ability to influence industry standards and is committed to continually raising the bar whilst redefining the role and perceived value of the salvage operator.  Network members adhere to robust service level agreements, against which they are audited, in order to ensure performance consistency and a market leading customer experience.  

The salvage and recycling operating environment is evolving rapidly, and e2e is anticipating, listening and responding to changing market needs.  Regulatory compliance, ESG, reclaimed parts, customer experience, EVs, new vehicle technologies, data and reputation risk are just some of many considerations linked to the procurement of salvage services.  e2e will drive further added value to clients and members through the adoption and application of emerging technologies, continuing to differentiate its proposition and position salvage services as a professional partnership. 

Owain Griffiths

Owain Griffiths

Head of Circular Economy at Volvo Cars

Owain joined Volvo Cars in June 2021 to lead Circular Economy in the Global Sustainability Team. The company has committed to being a circular business by 2040 and has financial, recycled content and CO2 based targets for 2025, all of which Owain is working across the company to make happen. Owain previously worked for circular economy consultancy Oakdene Hollins where he advised businesses on evidence led circular economy implementation. 

Turning into a circular business and the importance of vehicle reuse and recycling.

The presentation will cover the work Volvo Cars is doing to achieve 2025 but mainly focus on the transformational work towards 2040 and the business and value chain changes being considered. Attention will be paid to the way vehicles are being dealt with at the end of life and the complexities of closing material and component loops. Opportunities and challenges which Volvo Cars is facing will be presented including engagement with 3rd parties and increasing pressure from stakeholders.

VEHICLE RECYCLING AWARDS CATEGORIES 2026

COMMUNITY IMPACT AWARD
Closing date for Entry is

This award recognises businesses that go beyond their day-to-day operations to make a positive and lasting contribution to their local communities.

Entries may include initiatives such as supporting community events or sports teams, donating vehicles or parts to colleges and training providers, raising funds for charities, working with local authorities to remove untaxed or abandoned vehicles from public roads, or any other activity that improves safety, supports education, promotes responsible vehicle ownership or benefits the wider community.

Nominations may be submitted by the company involved, the organisation or community that benefited from the initiative, or as a joint entry.

Judges will be looking for evidence of genuine community impact, strong engagement with local people or organisations, and a commitment to ensuring the initiative delivers value over the long term.

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With a strong commitment to sustainability, traceability and circular economy solutions, Autocirc supplies recycled OEM parts to collision and repair workshops, vehicle manufacturers and insurance companies, supporting a more efficient, lower-waste model for repair and parts supply.

At a vehicle recycling conference, his perspective is highly relevant. The opportunity for ATFs and recyclers is no longer limited to dismantling and material recovery; it is increasingly about building trusted, traceable and scalable routes for parts reuse within a circular automotive ecosystem.

Hugues’ session, “From Waste to Value: Building a Scalable Circular Ecosystem in the Automotive Aftermarket,” will explore how automotive recycling can move further up the value chain, creating stronger links between dismantlers, repairers, insurers and OEMs. He will examine what it takes to build circular systems at scale, and how traceable reuse of pre-owned OEM parts can help shape a more sustainable, resilient and commercially attractive future for the automotive aftermarket.

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Conrad is the Founder of MACHINES LIKE ME, an AI automation company that designs and deploys AI agents to transform manual operational and administrative tasks into reliable, scalable end-to-end automation. Working with organisations across sectors, he helps connect data, systems and workflows to streamline operations, reduce operating costs and improve quality, turning AI from theory into tangible business performance.

At a conference themed Auto Recycling Intelligence, Conrad’s session will address both the opportunity and the scepticism surrounding AI in the vehicle recycling sector. What is AI really? What can it genuinely automate, and what should remain firmly human-led?

He will explore practical applications for vehicle recyclers, from process optimisation and data handling to workflow automation, while making clear that AI is a support tool, not a replacement for industry expertise.

Blending philosophy with practical examples, Conrad will demystify artificial intelligence, challenge common misconceptions and show how vehicle recyclers can adopt AI confidently, improving efficiency without losing the human intelligence that drives the sector.

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Technical Director - Lithium Battery Recycling Solutions (a SUEZ company)
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Alan is a fourth-term Dangerous Goods Safety Advisor (DGSA) and has spent over 33 years in the waste industry. Since 2012, he has been at the centre of developing practical, compliant solutions for lithium battery management, work that helped establish one of the UK’s first dedicated battery workshops in 2017 and, in September 2022, one of the country’s first waste battery plants designed to recover materials via mechanical shredding and separation.

At a vehicle recycling conference, this topic is moving rapidly from “emerging” to “urgent”. Alan’s presentation explores what ATFs and recyclers need to know now: the real-world challenges of collection, transport and storage; the handling risks associated with damaged or unknown-state batteries; and the operational and commercial conditions the sector is likely to face over the next decade as EV volumes rise.

He’ll also share news of SUEZ’s latest investment in battery recycling,  and what it could mean for UK capacity, downstream routes and future collaboration with ATFs.

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Director, EY LLP – UK&I Transport & Logistics Leader, Mobility Practice
Total Cost of Ownership Meets End-of-Life Reality

As electrification reshapes the automotive sector, the financial logic behind vehicles is changing just as rapidly as the technology itself. Mark Main brings a strategic asset and valuation perspective to this transformation, helping the industry understand what electric vehicles truly cost, not just to buy and run, but to recover, repair, recycle and retire.

A Director at EY LLP in London and the firm’s UK&I Transport and Logistics Leader within its Mobility practice, Mark specialises in capital equipment valuation and asset lifecycle advisory.

With more than 20 years’ experience across automotive, fleet and leasing, he supports organisations with residual value modelling, portfolio strategy, financial reporting and total cost of ownership analysis.

In this session, Mark will explore how traditional TCO models must now incorporate end-of-life risk, battery uncertainty and disposal obligations. For Authorised Treatment Facilities, this has real implications, from the economics of EV dismantling and material recovery to the operational challenges of recovering and storing damaged electric vehicles after accidents.

He will also examine the growing need to reskill technicians to manage high-voltage systems safely, connecting financial exposure with operational readiness. The result is a clear-eyed view of how electrification is redefining asset risk, lifecycle value and long-term profitability across the vehicle recycling ecosystem.

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IRT - Why You Can’t Afford to Miss This EV Battery Webinar HEM
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Founder and Managing Director - CES Research and Consulting
From Vehicle to Value: Understanding the Battery End-of-Life Chain

Hans Eric Melin is the Founder and Managing Director of CES Research and Consulting, a London-based research and advisory firm recognised globally for its expertise in lithium-ion battery lifecycle management, with a particular focus on reuse, recycling, and end-of-life value chains. Since 2017, CES has become a primary source of data-driven insight on the rapidly evolving battery circular economy, supporting stakeholders across industry, finance, and policy.

Prior to founding CES, Hans Eric served as Vice President of Market Development at Battery Solutions, then the largest battery recycler in the United States, where he worked on scaling recycling capacity and developing downstream markets. Earlier, he was CEO of Refind Technologies, a technology company developing AI-based sorting systems for battery recycling facilities.

Through his research and advisory work, Hans Eric has been instrumental in shaping industry understanding of structural challenges and opportunities within battery circularity. His analysis has highlighted issues such as China’s central role in battery reuse, recycling, and materials refining; the global trade in used battery-containing products; and the outsized influence of ownership models, consumer behaviour, and regulation on battery lifetimes, often exceeding purely technical constraints.

Hans Eric’s insights have been published in leading scientific journals, including Science and Nature, and are frequently cited by international media such as BloombergThe Wall Street Journal, and Wired. He is a regular keynote speaker and moderator at major conferences across Europe, North America, and Asia.

Hans Eric holds a BSc in Communication Studies and Business Administration from the University of Gothenburg, Sweden, and is based between London and Vienna.

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Head-and-shoulders portrait of a middle-aged man in a dark suit and grey tie, facing the camera against a white background.
Leon van der Merwe
Vice President - Toyota Motor Europe
Designing for Circularity: The Manufacturer’s View of End-of-Life

Leon van der Merwe brings a senior OEM perspective to one of the most important shifts facing the vehicle recycling sector: the move towards a fully integrated circular economy. A highly experienced automotive leader, Leon has held major executive roles across retail, aftermarket and manufacturing. From serving as Managing Director of Kwik Fit South Africa to leading product and services strategy in Europe, and later holding senior positions with First Stop and Bridgestone Europe, his career spans the breadth of the automotive value chain.

Since joining Toyota Motor Europe in 2014, Leon has led After Sales before expanding his responsibilities to cover the entire Value Chain. In 2019, he moved into manufacturing as Vice President of Supply Chain, Manufacturing Support and Production Control, guiding operations through Brexit and Covid. In July 2023, he created two new strategic functions, Circular Economy and Energy Business, reinforcing Toyota’s long-term commitment to sustainability and new mobility models

For vehicle recycling, this signals a fundamental shift. OEMs are increasingly designing vehicles with reuse, remanufacture and material recovery in mind and seeking structured collaboration with recyclers.

Leon’s session will explore how circular economy strategy is influencing vehicle design, dismantling processes, data transparency and material flows, and what this means for auto recyclers aiming to position themselves as trusted partners within an OEM-led, end-to-end value chain.

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Labour MP for Coventry East
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Director - Trend Tracker, Industry Insights & Service Certainty Ltd
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VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Mary Creagh CBE MP

CBE MP
Parliamentary Under-Secretary of State (Defra)
Labour MP for Coventry East

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VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Paul Sell

Director at Trend Tracker, Industry Insights & Service Certainty Ltd

With more than two decades at the heart of the UK insurance sector, Paul Sell brings a deep understanding of how claims economics directly influence the vehicle repair and recycling markets.

Paul spent 23 years with Aviva, leading a range of commercial roles across partnerships and claims supply chain. After working closely with vehicle manufacturers, he transitioned into Claims Supply Chain, ultimately becoming Head of Supply Chain with responsibility for supplier relationships across all product lines. His experience spans procurement strategy, repair networks, cost control and operational performance — insight that is increasingly relevant to Authorised Treatment Facilities navigating insurer-led decisions.

Since leaving Aviva seven years ago, Paul has worked independently with innovative businesses including RightIndem and Service Certainty, while providing consultancy to insurers and manufacturers through Industry Insights. He also played a key role in the acquisition and leadership of Trend Tracker, which now delivers regular market intelligence and analysis to the motor claims and repair sector.

In his session, Paul will explore the trends shaping the Motor Vehicle Repair Market — from repair-versus-write-off decisions and parts pressures to insurer behaviour and market cycles. For ATFs, these dynamics directly affect vehicle volumes, salvage values and end-of-life flows. Delegates will gain a clearer picture of where the market is heading and what it means for the future of vehicle recycling.

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VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Conrad Caine

Conrad Caine

Founder, MACHINES LIKE ME

As the conversation around AI accelerates, Conrad Caine is focused on one question: how can artificial intelligence deliver practical, measurable value in real-world industries like vehicle recycling?

Conrad is the Founder of MACHINES LIKE ME, an AI automation company that designs and deploys AI agents to transform manual operational and administrative tasks into reliable, scalable end-to-end automation. Working with organisations across sectors, he helps connect data, systems and workflows to streamline operations, reduce operating costs and improve quality, turning AI from theory into tangible business performance.

At a conference themed Auto Recycling Intelligence, Conrad’s session will address both the opportunity and the scepticism surrounding AI in the vehicle recycling sector. What is AI really? What can it genuinely automate, and what should remain firmly human-led?

He will explore practical applications for vehicle recyclers, from process optimisation and data handling to workflow automation, while making clear that AI is a support tool, not a replacement for industry expertise.

Blending philosophy with practical examples, Conrad will demystify artificial intelligence, challenge common misconceptions and show how vehicle recyclers can adopt AI confidently, improving efficiency without losing the human intelligence that drives the sector.

ATF Pro Logo

VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Mark Main

Director, EY LLP – UK&I Transport & Logistics Leader, Mobility Practice

As electrification reshapes the automotive sector, the financial logic behind vehicles is changing just as rapidly as the technology itself. Mark Main brings a strategic asset and valuation perspective to this transformation, helping the industry understand what electric vehicles truly cost, not just to buy and run, but to recover, repair, recycle and retire.

A Director at EY LLP in London and the firm’s UK&I Transport and Logistics Leader within its Mobility practice, Mark specialises in capital equipment valuation and asset lifecycle advisory.

With more than 20 years’ experience across automotive, fleet and leasing, he supports organisations with residual value modelling, portfolio strategy, financial reporting and total cost of ownership analysis.

In this session, Mark will explore how traditional TCO models must now incorporate end-of-life risk, battery uncertainty and disposal obligations. For Authorised Treatment Facilities, this has real implications, from the economics of EV dismantling and material recovery to the operational challenges of recovering and storing damaged electric vehicles after accidents.

He will also examine the growing need to reskill technicians to manage high-voltage systems safely, connecting financial exposure with operational readiness. The result is a clear-eyed view of how electrification is redefining asset risk, lifecycle value and long-term profitability across the vehicle recycling ecosystem.

ATF Pro Logo

VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

HANS ERIC MELIN

Founder and Managing Director of CES Research and Consulting

Hans Eric Melin is the Founder and Managing Director of CES Research and Consulting, a London-based research and advisory firm recognised globally for its expertise in lithium-ion battery lifecycle management, with a particular focus on reuse, recycling, and end-of-life value chains. Since 2017, CES has become a primary source of data-driven insight on the rapidly evolving battery circular economy, supporting stakeholders across industry, finance, and policy.

Prior to founding CES, Hans Eric served as Vice President of Market Development at Battery Solutions, then the largest battery recycler in the United States, where he worked on scaling recycling capacity and developing downstream markets. Earlier, he was CEO of Refind Technologies, a technology company developing AI-based sorting systems for battery recycling facilities.

Through his research and advisory work, Hans Eric has been instrumental in shaping industry understanding of structural challenges and opportunities within battery circularity. His analysis has highlighted issues such as China’s central role in battery reuse, recycling, and materials refining; the global trade in used battery-conta

ining products; and the outsized influence of ownership models, consumer behaviour, and regulation on battery lifetimes, often exceeding purely technical constraints.

Hans Eric’s insights have been published in leading scientific journals, including Science and Nature, and are frequently cited by international media such as Bloomberg, The Wall Street Journal, and Wired. He is a regular keynote speaker and moderator at major conferences across Europe, North America, and Asia.

Hans Eric holds a BSc in Communication Studies and Business Administration from the University of Gothenburg, Sweden, and is based between London and Vienna.

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VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Head-and-shoulders portrait of a middle-aged man in a dark suit and grey tie, facing the camera against a white background.

Leon van der Merwe

Vice President at Toyota Motor Europe.

Leon van der Merwe brings a senior OEM perspective to one of the most important shifts facing the vehicle recycling sector: the move towards a fully integrated circular economy. A charismatic and highly experienced automotive leader, Leon has held major executive roles across retail, aftermarket and manufacturing. From serving as Managing Director of Kwik Fit South Africa to leading product and services strategy in Europe, and later holding senior positions with First Stop and Bridgestone Europe, his career spans the breadth of the automotive value chain

Since joining Toyota Motor Europe in 2014, Leon has led After Sales before expanding his responsibilities to cover the entire Value Chain. In 2019 he moved into manufacturing as Vice President of Supply Chain, Manufacturing Support and Production Control, guiding operations through Brexit and Covid. In July 2023, he created two new strategic functions — Circular Economy and Energy Business — reinforcing Toyota’s long-term commitment to sustainability and new mobility models

For vehicle recycling, this signals a fundamental shift. OEMs are increasingly designing vehicles with reuse, remanufacture and material recovery in mind — and seeking structured collaboration with recyclers.

Leon’s session will explore how circular economy strategy is influencing vehicle design, dismantling processes, data transparency and material flows, and what this means for auto recyclers aiming to position themselves as trusted partners within an OEM-led, end-to-end value chain.

VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Dismantlers at the centre of the aftermarket - Andrew Marsh
Andrew Marsh
Technical director - AutoBody Bible Ltd
The China Effect: Risk or Opportunity for Vehicle Recyclers?

With more than four decades in automotive engineering, Andrew Marsh brings rare depth and straight-talking clarity to the challenges now facing vehicle recycling. An engineering graduate since 1984, Andrew spent over 20 years inside major OEMs before moving into a second career phase with Thatcham Research.

In 2011, he founded AutoBody Bible Ltd to deliver bodyshop-focused repair intelligence, and in 2026 he begins a new business venture. A respected technical commentator, he writes for leading bodyshop publications and is a Fellow of both the IMI and the IAEA.

A regular international presenter, Andrew speaks at industry events around the world and is also a familiar voice to our audience, having previously presented at our conferences.

In this session, Andrew will examine China’s growing influence on the European automotive market and why this matters directly to Authorised Treatment Facilities. As Europe moves toward 2030, will China’s manufacturing strength reshape volumes, vehicle types and parts availability, and what could that mean for ATF profitability and compliance?

Andrew will cut through the headlines to explore how Chinese industrial policy, European regulation and high energy costs combine to impact end-of-life vehicle flows. Crucially, he will set out the potential “win or lose” implications for ATFs,  from changing dismantling demand and material values to new operational pressures, emerging opportunities and the strategic steps ATFs can take to stay ahead.

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VEHICLE RECYCLING CONFERENCE 2026

Alan Colledge

Alan Colledge

Company Title

As lithium batteries become a defining feature of end-of-life vehicles, Alan Colledge is helping the UK recycling sector adapt safely and at scale. As Technical Director of Lithium Battery Recycling Solutions (SUEZ), Alan leads the safe collection, handling and recycling of lithium batteries, with a particular focus on traction batteries from the automotive and wider mobility markets.

Alan is a fourth-term Dangerous Goods Safety Advisor (DGSA) and has spent over 33 years in the waste industry. Since 2012, he has been at the centre of developing practical, compliant solutions for lithium battery management, work that helped establish one of the UK’s first dedicated battery workshops in 2017 and, in September 2022, one of the country’s first waste battery plants designed to recover materials via mechanical shredding and separation.

At a vehicle recycling conference, this topic is moving rapidly from “emerging” to “urgent”. Alan’s presentation explores what ATFs and recyclers need to know now: the real-world challenges of collection, transport and storage; the handling risks associated with damaged or unknown-state batteries; and the operational and commercial conditions the sector is likely to face over the next decade as EV volumes rise.

He’ll also share news of SUEZ’s latest investment in battery recycling,  and what it could mean for UK capacity, downstream routes and future collaboration with ATFs.

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